{"id":20138,"date":"2022-03-29T09:51:38","date_gmt":"2022-03-29T07:51:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/autoklastr.cz\/cs\/?p=20138"},"modified":"2022-04-08T09:57:17","modified_gmt":"2022-04-08T07:57:17","slug":"experti-komentuji-zvyseni-sazeb-cnb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/autoklastr.cz\/en\/experti-komentuji-zvyseni-sazeb-cnb\/","title":{"rendered":"Experti komentuj\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sazeb \u010cNB"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bankovn\u00ed rada \u010cNB zv\u00fd\u0161ila dvout\u00fddenn\u00ed repo sazbu (2T repo sazbu) o 0,50 procentn\u00edho bodu na 5,00 %. Sou\u010dasn\u011b rozhodla o zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed diskontn\u00ed sazby ve stejn\u00e9m rozsahu na 4,00 % a lombardn\u00ed sazby na 6,00 %. Nov\u011b stanoven\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby jsou platn\u00e9 od 1. dubna 2022. Jak to hodnot\u00ed experti?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Koment\u00e1\u0159 Radomila Dole\u017eala, gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159editele CzechTrade, k aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmu rozhodnut\u00ed \u010cNB o zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby:<\/h5>\n

\u201eZv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb je pro \u010desk\u00e9 export\u00e9ry \u0161patnou, i kdy\u017e o\u010dek\u00e1vanou zpr\u00e1vou. Ti se mus\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ka\u017ed\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1vat s negativn\u00edmi vlivy na \u010desk\u00fd export. Nyn\u00ed se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 prvek \u0161patn\u00e9 p\u0159edv\u00eddatelnosti budouc\u00edho v\u00fdvoje. Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou na Ukrajin\u011b se po\u010d\u00edtalo, \u017ee v dne\u0161n\u00ed dob\u011b zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb ustane. S t\u00edm se m\u016f\u017eeme rozlou\u010dit, proto\u017ee centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka mus\u00ed logicky reagovat na neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u011b se zvy\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed inflaci,\u201c<\/em>\u00a0\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel CzechTrade Radomil Dole\u017eal.<\/p>\n

Koment\u00e1\u0159 Tom\u00e1\u0161e Kudly\u00a0\u2013 obchodn\u00edho \u0159editele za \u010cR a SR spole\u010dnosti Ebury, kter\u00e1 je mj. ozna\u010dena jako nejp\u0159esn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v predikc\u00edch kurz\u016f m\u011bn agenturou Bloomberg,\u00a0k dne\u0161n\u00edmu zased\u00e1n\u00ed \u010cNB a zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb:<\/h5>\n

Bankovn\u00ed rada \u010cNB\u00a0dnes dle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161ila \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby o\u00a00,50 bazick\u00fdch bod\u016f, tedy\u00a0na 5 %. D\u016fvodem zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb je nad\u00e1le rostouc\u00ed inflace umocn\u011bn\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm konfliktem na Ukrajin\u011b. Inflace v \u010cR je p\u0159itom nejv\u00edce ta\u017een\u00e1 zdra\u017een\u00edm energi\u00ed\u00a0(elekt\u0159ina a plyn), pohonn\u00fdch hmot a n\u00e1jm\u016f. V\u0161echny tyto aspekty se podep\u00ed\u0161\u00ed do fin\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnoty inflace za m\u011bs\u00edc b\u0159ezen.\u00a0Zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sazeb \u010cNB bude m\u00edt za n\u00e1sledek dal\u0161\u00ed zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb u \u00fav\u011br\u016f a hypot\u00e9k. O\u010dek\u00e1valo se, \u017ee ve druh\u00e9m \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed by se r\u016fst inflace mohl zastavit, ale vzhledem k ud\u00e1lostem na Ukrajin\u011b se naopak o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 jej\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst. Pokud inflace bude v r\u016fstu pokra\u010dovat i nad\u00e1le, \u010cNB m\u016f\u017ee, a nejsp\u00ed\u0161 tak\u00e9 bude, d\u00e1le zvy\u0161ovat sazby.<\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00e1 koruna se vr\u00e1tila zp\u011bt na \u00farove\u0148, kterou zauj\u00edmala p\u0159ed ruskou invaz\u00ed na Ukrajinu\u00a0\u2013 je tedy zna\u010dn\u011b stabiln\u00ed a siln\u00e1.\u00a0Pokud by prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v tureck\u00e9m Istanbulu mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem ale ukon\u010dila prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed konflikt, koruna by p\u0159i takto vysok\u00fdch \u00farokov\u00fdch sazb\u00e1ch mohla prorazit i hranici 24 K\u010d za 1\u00a0euro (\u20ac). Pokud nedojde ke zhor\u0161en\u00ed situace na Ukrajin\u011b, dal\u0161\u00ed oslaben\u00ed koruny neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m. Naopak v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b zhor\u0161en\u00ed situace m\u016f\u017ee \u010cNB zakro\u010dit a prodat \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00fdch devizov\u00fdch rezerv tak, jak to ud\u011blala ji\u017e na p\u0159elomu \u00fanora a b\u0159ezna, kdy\u017e CZK oslabila a\u017e na \u00farove\u0148 25,80 K\u010d za Euro. Ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b by m\u011blo s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed za n\u00e1sledek pos\u00edlen\u00ed CZK, co\u017e je \u010cNB v\u00edt\u00e1no vzhledem k importovan\u00e9 inflaci. Zbo\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 dov\u00e1\u017e\u00edme, bude potom levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u010cNB pos\u00edlen\u00ed koruny v\u00edt\u00e1, sv\u016fj dosavadn\u00ed postoj zm\u011bnila i p\u016fvodn\u011b skeptick\u00e1 ECB, kter\u00e1 pl\u00e1nuje do konce roku navy\u0161ovat sazby \u2013 prozat\u00edm se bude jednat pouze o kosmetick\u00e9 \u00fapravy.<\/p>\n

P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee inflace se bude i nad\u00e1le zvy\u0161ovat, co\u017e pro b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 ob\u010dany znamen\u00e1 hlavn\u011b zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 v\u0161eho. \u010cesk\u00e1 republika m\u00e1 aktu\u00e1ln\u011b jednu z nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch m\u011br inflace v Evropsk\u00e9 unii \u2013 za \u00fanor vystoupala a\u017e na 11,1 %. V 1. pololet\u00ed roku 2022 by se mohla vy\u0161plhat a\u017e na 15 %.<\/p>\n

Koment\u00e1\u0159 poradensk\u00e9 skupiny Moore Czech Republic k v\u00fdznamn\u00e9mu nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sazeb \u010cNB:<\/h5>\n

\u201eDal\u0161\u00edm nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00edm \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb \u010cNB op\u011bt reaguje na velmi rychle rostouc\u00ed inflaci. Tu je\u0161t\u011b zesiluj\u00ed d\u016fsledky v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, zejm\u00e9na prudk\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen pohonn\u00fdch hmot a nov\u00e9 v\u00fdpadky v\u00a0dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u00edch. Tyto faktory se ji\u017e do b\u0159eznov\u00fdch dat prom\u00edtly a je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u00e9, \u017ee sv\u011bdky dvoucifern\u00e9ho meziro\u010dn\u00edho r\u016fstu spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen, tedy p\u00e1div\u00e9 m\u00edry inflace, budeme i v\u00a0n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch,\u201c\u00a0<\/em>uv\u00e1d\u00ed Petr Kymli\u010dka, partner poradensk\u00e9 skupiny Moore Czech Republic.\u00a0\u201eZ\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e1 sazba, kter\u00e1 je aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed od roku 2001, naopak p\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 k potla\u010den\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu. \u010cesk\u00e9 republice re\u00e1ln\u011b hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se dostane do st\u00e1dia stagflace, tedy kombinace v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 inflace a nulov\u00e9ho r\u016fstu, nebo dokonce poklesu re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho produktu,\u201c\u00a0<\/em>dod\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Koment\u00e1\u0159 \u0159editele realitn\u00edho fondu Sch\u00f6nfeld & Co Pr\u00e9miov\u00e9 nemovitosti Milo\u0161e Filipa k dopadu dne\u0161n\u00edho zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb \u010cNB na trh s nemovitostmi:<\/h5>\n

\u201e\u010cesk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banka s ohledem na v\u00fdvoj inflace k dal\u0161\u00edmu zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb p\u0159istoupit musela. A\u010dkoli s sebou tento krok p\u0159inese dal\u0161\u00ed zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed hypot\u00e9k, investi\u010dn\u00edch i spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch \u00fav\u011br\u016f, moc jin\u00fdch n\u00e1stroj\u016f, jak se pokusit tempo r\u016fstu cen zkrotit, \u010cNB nem\u00e1.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Pokud nav\u00edc p\u0159ihl\u00e9dneme k v\u00fdvoji cen energi\u00ed, stavebn\u00edch materi\u00e1l\u016f i naru\u0161en\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f, je t\u0159eba po\u010d\u00edtat s dal\u0161\u00edm r\u016fstem n\u00e1klad\u016f na bydlen\u00ed v \u010cesku. Z investi\u010dn\u00edho pohledu pak o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m rozev\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed n\u016f\u017eek mezi kvalitn\u00edmi nemovitostmi v atraktivn\u00edch lokalit\u00e1ch, je\u017e budou d\u00e1l slou\u017eit jako spolehliv\u00fd uchovatel hodnoty p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm pro investory disponuj\u00edc\u00ed dostatkem hotovosti, a investi\u010dn\u00edmi byty financovan\u00fdmi hypot\u00e9kou s vysok\u00fdm LTV, je\u017e se zejm\u00e9na na m\u00e9n\u011b atraktivn\u00edch m\u00edstech u\u017e nemus\u00ed z pohledu v\u00fdnosu \u0159ad\u011b lid\u00ed vypl\u00e1cet dr\u017eet.<\/em><\/p>\n

Na poli komer\u010dn\u00edch nemovitost\u00ed m\u016f\u017eeme v d\u016fsledku dal\u0161\u00edho zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed korunov\u00fdch \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee se st\u00e1le v\u00edce developer\u016f a investor\u016f bude sna\u017eit zajistit si financov\u00e1n\u00ed v eurech. Proto\u017ee nejistoty ohledn\u011b dal\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdvoje euroz\u00f3ny svazuj\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance ruce v\u00edce ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve a jej\u00ed hlavn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e1 sazba z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 na nule, budou se eurov\u00e9 \u00fav\u011bry v \u010cesku vypl\u00e1cet \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l v\u00edc. A to p\u0159esto, \u017ee u nich mus\u00edme po\u010d\u00edtat s n\u00e1klady na zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed kurzov\u00e9ho rizika.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Zdroj: automakers.cz<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bankovn\u00ed rada \u010cNB zv\u00fd\u0161ila dvout\u00fddenn\u00ed repo sazbu (2T repo sazbu) o 0,50 procentn\u00edho bodu na 5,00 %. Sou\u010dasn\u011b rozhodla o zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed diskontn\u00ed sazby ve stejn\u00e9m rozsahu na 4,00 % a lombardn\u00ed sazby na 6,00 %. Nov\u011b stanoven\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby jsou platn\u00e9 od 1. dubna 2022. Jak to hodnot\u00ed experti? Koment\u00e1\u0159 Radomila Dole\u017eala, gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159editele CzechTrade, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":81,"featured_media":20139,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"kategorie_prispevku":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nExperti komentuj\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sazeb \u010cNB | Autoklastr<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/autoklastr.cz\/en\/experti-komentuji-zvyseni-sazeb-cnb\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale:alternate\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Experti komentuj\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed sazeb \u010cNB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bankovn\u00ed rada \u010cNB zv\u00fd\u0161ila dvout\u00fddenn\u00ed repo sazbu (2T repo sazbu) o 0,50 procentn\u00edho bodu na 5,00 %. Sou\u010dasn\u011b rozhodla o zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed diskontn\u00ed sazby ve stejn\u00e9m rozsahu na 4,00 % a lombardn\u00ed sazby na 6,00 %. Nov\u011b stanoven\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby jsou platn\u00e9 od 1. dubna 2022. Jak to hodnot\u00ed experti? 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