{"id":21763,"date":"2022-12-20T13:25:50","date_gmt":"2022-12-20T12:25:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/autoklastr.cz\/cs\/?p=21763"},"modified":"2022-12-22T13:27:10","modified_gmt":"2022-12-22T12:27:10","slug":"2023-experti-eqsa-cekaji-stagnaci-ekonomiky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/autoklastr.cz\/cs\/2023-experti-eqsa-cekaji-stagnaci-ekonomiky\/","title":{"rendered":"2023: Experti EQSA \u010dekaj\u00ed stagnaci ekonomiky"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Rok 2022 se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci a p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed \u010das bilancov\u00e1n\u00ed. M\u00e1me za sebou velice pestr\u00fd, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fd rok. P\u0159inesl nad\u011bji na ukon\u010den\u00ed pandemie koronaviru, ze kter\u00e9 se radovala cel\u00e1 spole\u010dnost. Netu\u0161ili jsme, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bco hor\u0161\u00edho \u2013 prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/b><\/p>\n

V\u00a0roce 2022 se stalo n\u011bkolik ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ovlivnily celou spole\u010dnost. Tento rok za\u010dal nad\u011bjn\u011b. Pandemie koronaviru po dvou dlouh\u00fdch letech za\u010dala ustupovat a zd\u00e1lo se, \u017ee se ekonomika vzpamatuje. Dopady pandemie se ale za\u010daly projevovat, a to v\u00a0podob\u011b tempa r\u016fstu inflace.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou byla mimo jin\u00e9 uvoln\u011bn\u00e1 fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed politika b\u011bhem pandemie, kdy \u010desk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da pumpovala do ekonomiky velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed pen\u011bz. Rostouc\u00ed lednov\u00e1 inflace byla zp\u016fsobena rovn\u011b\u017e n\u00e1r\u016fstem osobn\u00edch a materi\u00e1lov\u00fdch n\u00e1klad\u016f spole\u010dnost\u00ed v\u00a0roce 2021. Dal\u0161\u00edm d\u016fvodem bylo zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1klad\u016f na vlastnick\u00e9 bydlen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 p\u0159i m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed inflace v\u00a0\u010cR velk\u00fd v\u00fdznam. Za zvy\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edmi se n\u00e1klady na vlastnick\u00e9 bydlen\u00ed st\u00e1lo ukon\u010den\u00ed do\u010dasn\u00e9ho prominut\u00ed DPH na elekt\u0159inu a plyn, co\u017e vedlo ke zdra\u017een\u00ed energi\u00ed. Lednov\u00e1 makroekonomick\u00e1 predikce Ministerstva financ\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u00eddala 8,5% meziro\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen.<\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dovou ud\u00e1lost\u00ed roku byl \u00fanorov\u00fd vp\u00e1d rusk\u00fdch vojsk na Ukrajinu, kter\u00fd ot\u0159\u00e1sl cel\u00fdm sv\u011btem. Krom\u011b tis\u00edce \u017eivot\u016f state\u010dn\u00fdch Ukrajinc\u016f, kter\u00e9 tato v\u00e1lka vzala, p\u0159inesl konflikt tak\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 poci\u0165uj\u00ed v\u0161echny evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b. Z\u00a0d\u016fvodu vysok\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti evropsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch zemn\u00edho plynu a ropy z\u00a0Ruska byla ekonomicko-energeticky ochromena cel\u00e1 Evropa. Nejistota a strach z\u00a0budouc\u00edho v\u00fdvoje rapidn\u011b zvedly ceny pohonn\u00fdch hmot. V\u00a0prvn\u00edm pololet\u00ed tohoto roku tak zdra\u017eily ceny benzinu a nafty a \u010desk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da byla nucena sn\u00ed\u017eit spot\u0159ebn\u00ed da\u0148 na motorovou naftu.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0uplynul\u00e9m roce jsme byli sv\u011bdky tak\u00e9 buj\u00edc\u00ed energetick\u00e9 krize. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd zp\u016fsob tvorby ceny elekt\u0159iny v\u00a0Evrop\u011b je do velk\u00e9 m\u00edry z\u00e1visl\u00fd na cen\u011b plynu. Plynov\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed takzvan\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011brn\u00fd zdroj, tedy posledn\u00ed zdroj, kter\u00fd je nutn\u00fd pro uspokojen\u00ed dan\u00e9 popt\u00e1vky. Rusk\u00e1 agrese na Ukrajin\u011b v\u0161ak v\u00fdznamn\u011b p\u0159isp\u011bla ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen plynu a t\u00edm p\u00e1dem i elektrick\u00e9 energie. Na zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed elekt\u0159iny se pod\u00edl\u00ed tak\u00e9 r\u016fst cen emisn\u00edch povolenek, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed nasm\u011brovat investice firem do v\u00fdroby elekt\u0159iny pomoc\u00ed technologi\u00ed s ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmi emisemi. V\u00a0neposledn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b p\u0159isp\u011blo k\u00a0r\u016fstu ceny elektrick\u00e9 energie tak\u00e9 zav\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed uheln\u00fdch a jadern\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren v\u00a0Evrop\u011b, co\u017e souviselo se zelenou politikou Evropsk\u00e9 unie.<\/p>\n

Energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed pr\u016fmyslu tak poznamenaly zvy\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00fdrobn\u00ed n\u00e1klady, co\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti dostalo do finan\u010dn\u00edch pot\u00ed\u017e\u00ed. N\u011bkter\u00e9 podniky byly nuceny nastalou situaci \u0159e\u0161it omezov\u00e1n\u00edm nebo zastavov\u00e1n\u00edm v\u00fdroby nebo propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm zam\u011bstnanc\u016f.<\/p>\n

Vysok\u00e9 ceny energi\u00ed, se projevily i v\u00a0cen\u00e1ch ostatn\u00edho zbo\u017e\u00ed a slu\u017eeb a ovlivnily dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst inflace. Na r\u016fst m\u00edry inflace reagovala b\u011bhem roku tak\u00e9 \u010cesk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banka, kter\u00e1 navy\u0161ovala \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby. Sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e9 hodnoty pen\u011bz a s\u00a0t\u00edm spojen\u00e1 nejistota z\u00a0budouc\u00edho v\u00fdvoje cen, se odrazily ve zpomalov\u00e1n\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu. Podle makroekonomick\u00e9 predikce Ministerstva financ\u00ed z\u00a0listopadu leto\u0161n\u00edho roku se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 m\u00edra inflace v\u00a0\u010cR m\u011bla v\u00a0roce 2022 v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru dos\u00e1hnout 15 %, co\u017e je ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0lednovou predikc\u00ed znateln\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst, kter\u00fd byl ovlivn\u011bn v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdmi skute\u010dnostmi, kter\u00e9 nemohly b\u00fdt p\u0159edpov\u011bzeny.<\/p>\n

D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je tak\u00e9 zm\u00ednit, jak se podepsaly ud\u00e1losti leto\u0161n\u00edho roku na trhu s\u00a0nemovitostmi. Nemovitostn\u00ed trhu za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00ed. Z d\u016fvodu velk\u00e9ho n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen a z\u00e1rove\u0148 n\u00e1r\u016fstu \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb, kter\u00e9 jsou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 pro financov\u00e1n\u00ed nemovitost\u00ed a u kter\u00fdch nelze o\u010dek\u00e1vat v bl\u00edzk\u00e9m horizontu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed zp\u011bt na v\u00fd\u0161i, na kterou jsme byli zvykl\u00ed, se v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed boj\u00ed do nemovitost\u00ed investovat. V\u00a0d\u016fsledku toho se realitn\u00ed trh t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zastavil, nep\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee by ceny v\u00a0r\u00e1mci cel\u00e9ho trhu m\u011bly za\u010d\u00edt klesat.<\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla sice m\u00edrn\u011b klesla, jedn\u00e1 se sp\u00ed\u0161e pouze o jednotliv\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy \u010di sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed poplatku za realitn\u00ed zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1n\u00ed ne\u017e o nastolen\u00ed celkov\u00e9ho trendu. Pokud klesaj\u00ed, sp\u00ed\u0161e se jedn\u00e1 o star\u0161\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b atraktivn\u00ed nemovitosti. Za posledn\u00ed rok nap\u0159\u00edklad klesl trh se star\u0161\u00edmi nemovitostmi v\u00a0Praze o cca 1,5 %. Velk\u00fd po\u010det lid\u00ed je tedy nucen p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u011bt se sp\u00ed\u0161e k\u00a0pron\u00e1jmu, proto\u017ee si nem\u016f\u017eou dovolit financov\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00edho bydlen\u00ed, co\u017e vede k\u00a0r\u016fstu n\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho. Nov\u00e9 generace si tak budou muset postupn\u011b zvyknout na to, \u017ee nemovitosti nemus\u00ed vlastnit, ale budou si je pronaj\u00edmat. Na dynamick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj v\u00a0oblasti nemovitost\u00ed reaguje i na\u0161e znaleck\u00e1 kancel\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00e1 tvo\u0159\u00ed a aktualizuje anal\u00fdzy trhu nemovitost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

S\u00a0ohledem na ud\u00e1losti tohoto roku p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1me, \u017ee se zm\u011bn\u00ed nap\u0159\u00edklad i nej\u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u010del posudk\u016f, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1m budou zad\u00e1v\u00e1ny. Na\u0161i pr\u00e1ci nap\u0159\u00edklad ovlivn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj insolvenc\u00ed v\u00a0\u010cesk\u00e9 republice. V\u00a0p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fdch letech byly oproti p\u016fvodn\u00edm predikc\u00edm zaznamen\u00e1ny relativn\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9 po\u010dty insolvenc\u00ed. D\u016fvodem jsou protipandemick\u00e1 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed a z\u00e1kony \u201elex covid\u201c, kter\u00e9 omezily mo\u017enosti pod\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1vrh\u016f na insolvence. M\u016f\u017eeme ale o\u010dek\u00e1vat zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed po\u010dtu insolven\u010dn\u00edch \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a to \u00a0 kv\u016fli zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed energi\u00ed a rostouc\u00edch cen materi\u00e1l\u016f, co\u017e se m\u016f\u017ee odrazit i v\u00a0\u010detnosti n\u00e1mi vypracovan\u00fdch posudk\u016f.<\/p>\n

Na\u0161i kancel\u00e1\u0159 rovn\u011b\u017e v\u00a0nov\u00e9m roce ovlivn\u00ed prosincov\u00e1 zm\u011bna ve znaleck\u00e9 vyhl\u00e1\u0161ce \u010d. 370\/2022 Sb., kterou se m\u011bn\u00ed vyhl\u00e1\u0161ka \u010d. 504\/2020 Sb., o znale\u010dn\u00e9m. Novela zv\u00fd\u0161ila hranici sazby mimosmluvn\u00ed odm\u011bny znalce od 1. ledna n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edho roku. Sazba se tak zvy\u0161uje ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 300 a\u017e 450 K\u010d na 800 a\u017e 1000 K\u010d. Lze tak sledovat alespo\u0148 z\u00e1kladn\u00ed posun pozitivn\u00edm sm\u011brem, kdy i s\u00a0ohledem na obecn\u011b rostouc\u00ed n\u00e1klady, je ale dan\u00e9 st\u00e1le pod hranic\u00ed obvykl\u00fdch hodinov\u00fdch sazeb znaleck\u00fdch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

D\u00e1le tak\u00e9 ministerstvo spravedlnosti zprovoznilo elektronickou evidenci znaleck\u00fdch posudk\u016f, jen\u017e nahrazuje znaleck\u00fd den\u00edk. I kdy\u017e se na tuto zm\u011bnu \u010dekalo ji\u017e od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2021, k\u00a0zprovozn\u011bn\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00ed evidence do\u0161lo a\u017e nyn\u00ed, kdy se jedn\u00e1 o informa\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl zp\u0159ehlednit evidenci znaleck\u00fdch \u00fakon\u016f. Znaleck\u00e1 kancel\u00e1\u0159 v\u00a0tomto ohledu o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee dojde k\u00a0zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed syst\u00e9mu kontroly evidence posudk\u016f, a tedy i k\u00a0zp\u0159ehledn\u011bn\u00ed \u010dinnosti jednotliv\u00fdch znalc\u016f a znaleck\u00fdch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, a t\u00edm i k zamezen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdm nekalostem.<\/p>\n

Celkov\u011b lze tedy shrnout, \u017ee v\u00a0roce 2023 se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 meziro\u010dn\u00ed pokles inflace na hranici 10 %. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee by mohlo doj\u00edt k\u00a0m\u00edrn\u00e9mu uklidn\u011bn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti. V\u00a0roce 2023 se v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 trvaj\u00edc\u00ed stagnace \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky z\u00a0d\u016fvodu p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch dopad\u016f vysok\u00e9 inflace. V\u00a0souvislosti s\u00a0v\u00fdvojem cen energi\u00ed a\u00a0pohonn\u00fdch hmot bude v\u00a0n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edm roce kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 sledovat, jak se bude vyv\u00edjet v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b a\u00a0tak\u00e9 jak na nastalou situaci budou reagovat jednotliv\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a EU jako celek. V\u00a0oblasti nemovitost\u00ed se v\u00a0roce 2023 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee vzroste pod\u00edl n\u00e1jemn\u00edho bydlen\u00ed z\u00a0d\u016fvodu vysok\u00fdch \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb u hypot\u00e9k. Sni\u017eme tedy sv\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a fand\u011bme state\u010dn\u00e9 Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

Zdroj: automakers.cz<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rok 2022 se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci a p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed \u010das bilancov\u00e1n\u00ed. M\u00e1me za sebou velice pestr\u00fd, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fd rok. P\u0159inesl nad\u011bji na ukon\u010den\u00ed pandemie koronaviru, ze kter\u00e9 se radovala cel\u00e1 spole\u010dnost. Netu\u0161ili jsme, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bco hor\u0161\u00edho \u2013 prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b. V\u00a0roce 2022 se stalo n\u011bkolik ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ovlivnily celou spole\u010dnost. Tento […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":81,"featured_media":21764,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"kategorie_prispevku":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n2023: Experti EQSA \u010dekaj\u00ed stagnaci ekonomiky | Autoklastr<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/autoklastr.cz\/cs\/2023-experti-eqsa-cekaji-stagnaci-ekonomiky\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale:alternate\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2023: Experti EQSA \u010dekaj\u00ed stagnaci ekonomiky\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Rok 2022 se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke konci a p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed \u010das bilancov\u00e1n\u00ed. M\u00e1me za sebou velice pestr\u00fd, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fd rok. P\u0159inesl nad\u011bji na ukon\u010den\u00ed pandemie koronaviru, ze kter\u00e9 se radovala cel\u00e1 spole\u010dnost. Netu\u0161ili jsme, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bco hor\u0161\u00edho \u2013 prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b. V\u00a0roce 2022 se stalo n\u011bkolik ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ovlivnily celou spole\u010dnost. 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